The Crisis of Repercussions of the Israeli-American War on Iran on the Arab World
This report, prepared by the Arab Crisis Team (ACT) at the Middle East Studies Center in Jordan, addresses the crisis of the repercussions of the Israeli-American war on Iran on the Arab world. Its importance lies in presenting an Arab vision for overcoming this crisis and any similar crises that the Arabs may face in the future.
It aims to develop a vision that constitutes a strategic political framework for Arab thinking and planning, enhancing the Arab world's ability to confront the various transformations in its regional strategic environment.
The Israeli-American war on Iran represents a model for creating a crisis for the Arab world through its impact and repercussions.
The report discusses the crisis of the Arab world's inability to deal with the security, political, and economic repercussions resulting from the large-scale airstrike launched by Israel on June 13, 2025, and the US on June 22, 2025, against Iran to destroy Iranian nuclear facilities.
The report indicates that the crisis stems from the Arab world's inability to take a decisive stance on the war, the violation of some countries' sovereignty, or the exposure of their citizens to danger, and the divergence of official Arab positions on the crisis.
Moreover, the growing Arab fear that one party to the war might impose hegemony on the region's leadership and realize its plans to reshape the map of the new Middle East, as well as the growing threat to regional security and stability, are part of the Arab weakness.
The Arab world is looking cautiously and with no confidence in the American role, as it approves permission for Israel to impose new rules of conflict in the Middle East based on force. As such, there are growing fears of an escalation of the war, which could lead to direct or indirect Arab participation.
The team examined the causes of this crisis, the most significant of which were: the geographical proximity of Iran and Israel to major Arab countries, the outbreak of conflict within the Arab region, the fragmentation and absence of a unified Arab decision, and the disruption of regional balance and stability.
It also explored the motives behind this crisis, discovering that they include the growing goals of expanding Israel's influence and hegemony in the region, and its aim to liquidate the Palestinian cause. The trend of the United States' desire to empower Israel in the region and maximize its influence in the Middle East, disregarding the interests of its Arab allies, particularly in the Arabian Gulf, also stands as a motive for such crisis and uncertainty in the Arab world.
The team examined the political, security, and economic dimensions of the crisis, exploring its repercussions and impacts on the Arab world.
The team finds that growing concern about rebuilding the Arab political system, to be free from conflicts, wars, and interference in the affairs of others, is a distinct dimension of the crisis. Arab countries also become less credible in international law and order, taking into consideration the growing threats to the Arab world from the outbreak of military fronts on Arab borders, especially the escalating Israeli threats.
The war on Iran has an impact on energy, oil, and petrochemical prices, which are intrinsically linked to the energy sector in the Arab Gulf countries. The war and its crisis in the Arab world have led to a decline in foreign direct investment and a disruption of supply chains, resulting in rising transportation costs.
The team discussed the main parties to the crisis, as well as regional and international actors. It analyzed their roles and the impact of their policies and interests on the crisis's emergence and continuation. It also examined the extent to which these parties could influence possible solutions to the situation or exacerbate it.
The team assessed three possible scenarios for the outcome of the crisis, finding that "containing the negative repercussions of the war on the Arab world and reducing the level of threat to regional stability and Arab national security" is the most likely scenario. This result has been achieved by weighing various factors that influence and determine the course of the crisis in the next phase.
The report revealed that the US administration is most likely ensuring and mobilizing European parties to open channels of communication and dialogue with Iran regarding its nuclear file. Both sides appear willing to continue the conversation and prevent it from reaching a dead end.
Regarding Iran's approach to dealing with Arab parties, there are practical indications that Iran has chosen to de-escalate, halt its threats, and address some of the negative repercussions of the war with some Arab parties.
Following these studies and analyses, the team arrived at an Arab vision for resolving this crisis, which entails "containing the crisis in all its components and dimensions to prevent its escalation, transitioning the Arab world from being affected to being an independent regional actor. It is to maintain a balance in the Arab relationship with various axes.
The vision also calls for "opening the door to collective initiatives to address the roots of the crisis in accordance with the collective Arab regional security framework". The Arabs need to "adopt a balanced strategic approach that addresses the dangers threatening Arab interests.
They are to "activate the joint Arab defense and security strategy to confront the existential threats posed by Israel to the Palestinian people and Arab states."
The team recommended a road map by adopting several Arab strategies to achieve this vision, the most important of which are: 1) Affirming adherence to respect for sovereignty and non-interference in the affairs of others; 2) Strengthening Arab unity through a coordination mechanism within the framework of the Arab League; 3) Directing Arab diplomatic efforts toward a regional initiative to reorganize relations with Iran and control Israeli illegal behavior.
The team also proposed several supportive measures, including: encouraging any regional and international effort to de-escalate the situation. They also encouraged the launch of an Arab regional security conference to restore regional balance based on the principle of respect for sovereignty.
It aims to develop a vision that constitutes a strategic political framework for Arab thinking and planning, enhancing the Arab world's ability to confront the various transformations in its regional strategic environment.
The Israeli-American war on Iran represents a model for creating a crisis for the Arab world through its impact and repercussions.
The report discusses the crisis of the Arab world's inability to deal with the security, political, and economic repercussions resulting from the large-scale airstrike launched by Israel on June 13, 2025, and the US on June 22, 2025, against Iran to destroy Iranian nuclear facilities.
The report indicates that the crisis stems from the Arab world's inability to take a decisive stance on the war, the violation of some countries' sovereignty, or the exposure of their citizens to danger, and the divergence of official Arab positions on the crisis.
Moreover, the growing Arab fear that one party to the war might impose hegemony on the region's leadership and realize its plans to reshape the map of the new Middle East, as well as the growing threat to regional security and stability, are part of the Arab weakness.
The Arab world is looking cautiously and with no confidence in the American role, as it approves permission for Israel to impose new rules of conflict in the Middle East based on force. As such, there are growing fears of an escalation of the war, which could lead to direct or indirect Arab participation.
The team examined the causes of this crisis, the most significant of which were: the geographical proximity of Iran and Israel to major Arab countries, the outbreak of conflict within the Arab region, the fragmentation and absence of a unified Arab decision, and the disruption of regional balance and stability.
It also explored the motives behind this crisis, discovering that they include the growing goals of expanding Israel's influence and hegemony in the region, and its aim to liquidate the Palestinian cause. The trend of the United States' desire to empower Israel in the region and maximize its influence in the Middle East, disregarding the interests of its Arab allies, particularly in the Arabian Gulf, also stands as a motive for such crisis and uncertainty in the Arab world.
The team examined the political, security, and economic dimensions of the crisis, exploring its repercussions and impacts on the Arab world.
The team finds that growing concern about rebuilding the Arab political system, to be free from conflicts, wars, and interference in the affairs of others, is a distinct dimension of the crisis. Arab countries also become less credible in international law and order, taking into consideration the growing threats to the Arab world from the outbreak of military fronts on Arab borders, especially the escalating Israeli threats.
The war on Iran has an impact on energy, oil, and petrochemical prices, which are intrinsically linked to the energy sector in the Arab Gulf countries. The war and its crisis in the Arab world have led to a decline in foreign direct investment and a disruption of supply chains, resulting in rising transportation costs.
The team discussed the main parties to the crisis, as well as regional and international actors. It analyzed their roles and the impact of their policies and interests on the crisis's emergence and continuation. It also examined the extent to which these parties could influence possible solutions to the situation or exacerbate it.
The team assessed three possible scenarios for the outcome of the crisis, finding that "containing the negative repercussions of the war on the Arab world and reducing the level of threat to regional stability and Arab national security" is the most likely scenario. This result has been achieved by weighing various factors that influence and determine the course of the crisis in the next phase.
The report revealed that the US administration is most likely ensuring and mobilizing European parties to open channels of communication and dialogue with Iran regarding its nuclear file. Both sides appear willing to continue the conversation and prevent it from reaching a dead end.
Regarding Iran's approach to dealing with Arab parties, there are practical indications that Iran has chosen to de-escalate, halt its threats, and address some of the negative repercussions of the war with some Arab parties.
Following these studies and analyses, the team arrived at an Arab vision for resolving this crisis, which entails "containing the crisis in all its components and dimensions to prevent its escalation, transitioning the Arab world from being affected to being an independent regional actor. It is to maintain a balance in the Arab relationship with various axes.
The vision also calls for "opening the door to collective initiatives to address the roots of the crisis in accordance with the collective Arab regional security framework". The Arabs need to "adopt a balanced strategic approach that addresses the dangers threatening Arab interests.
They are to "activate the joint Arab defense and security strategy to confront the existential threats posed by Israel to the Palestinian people and Arab states."
The team recommended a road map by adopting several Arab strategies to achieve this vision, the most important of which are: 1) Affirming adherence to respect for sovereignty and non-interference in the affairs of others; 2) Strengthening Arab unity through a coordination mechanism within the framework of the Arab League; 3) Directing Arab diplomatic efforts toward a regional initiative to reorganize relations with Iran and control Israeli illegal behavior.
The team also proposed several supportive measures, including: encouraging any regional and international effort to de-escalate the situation. They also encouraged the launch of an Arab regional security conference to restore regional balance based on the principle of respect for sovereignty.
Keywords:: Arab World, Arab Security, Arab Crisis, Israel, United States, America, War on Iran, Iranian Nuclear File
